Wednesday, May 08, 2013

May 8, 2013 Daily Analysis

There was no analysis written yesterday although I did track the pivot points.  Below is the chart to base the pivots off of for todays analysis as well as the pivots for tomorrow

April 3-May 7-May 8-May
High 1594.25 1614.25 1621.75 1629.5
Low 1530.75 1573.75 1609.25 1617
Close 1594.00 1609 1621.25 1628.5
   
R3 1678.75 1664.75 1638.083 1645.5
Mid 1657.63 1652.125 1634 1641.5
R2 1636.50 1639.5 1629.917 1637.5
Mid 1625.88 1631.875 1627.75 1635.25
R1 1615.25 1624.25 1625.583 1633
Mid 1594.13 1611.625 1621.5 1629
Pivot 1573.00 1599 1617.417 1625
Mid 1562.38 1591.375 1615.25 1622.75
S1 1551.75 1583.75 1613.083 1620.5
Mid 1530.63 1571.125 1609 1616.5
S2 1509.50 1558.5 1604.917 1612.5
Mid 1498.88 1550.875 1602.75 1610.25
S3 1488.25 1543.25 1600.583 1608

The below chart shows the ES for today.  Notice how it started at the Pivot Point and went up to R2.  It was a good run from the pivot point to the R2. 

 
 


The ES is getting close to the R2 pivot on a monthly chart.  With the price running up so fast, there should be a swing back to more of the middle by the end of May.  Look for some correction.

Monday, May 06, 2013

May 6, 2013 Daily update

The pivot points for today for the S&P Futures were

Monthly Week
April 3-May 3-May
High 1594.25 1614.25 1614.25
Low 1530.75 1573.75 1589.5
Close 1594.00 1609 1609
   
R3 1678.75 1664.75 1643.75
Mid 1657.63 1652.125 1636.375
R2 1636.50 1639.5 1629
Mid 1625.88 1631.875 1624
R1 1615.25 1624.25 1619
Mid 1594.13 1611.625 1611.625
Pivot 1573.00 1599 1604.25
Mid 1562.38 1591.375 1599.25
S1 1551.75 1583.75 1594.25
Mid 1530.63 1571.125 1586.875
S2 1509.50 1558.5 1579.5
Mid 1498.88 1550.875 1574.5
S3 1488.25 1543.25 1569.5

The R1 pivot point for the monthly was hit.  This was the pivot that dominated the day. The daily pivots were of no effect today.

 

Tomorrows pivot points are
Monthly Week
April 3-May 6-May
High 1594.25 1614.25 1615.25
Low 1530.75 1573.75 1607.25
Close 1594.00 1609 1611.75
   
R3 1678.75 1664.75 1623.583
Mid 1657.63 1652.125 1621.5
R2 1636.50 1639.5 1619.417
Mid 1625.88 1631.875 1617.5
R1 1615.25 1624.25 1615.583
Mid 1594.13 1611.625 1613.5
Pivot 1573.00 1599 1611.417
Mid 1562.38 1591.375 1609.5
S1 1551.75 1583.75 1607.583
Mid 1530.63 1571.125 1605.5
S2 1509.50 1558.5 1603.417
Mid 1498.88 1550.875 1601.5
S3 1488.25 1543.25 1599.583

With the tight range today, it will be interesting to see how the Markets move. The R1 for both the Monthly and Daily, it will be hard to be broken.  I anticipate a down day tomorrow.   It may touch R1 and then move down.  I would expect the low to be around 1607. 

Thursday, May 02, 2013

May 2, 2013 Daily Input

The S&P continues to show a bearish market.  The S&P has tried the 1600 level several times.  This may be a double top. Due to the time of year, a reversal is anticipated. 
 


The pivot points were not a clear method today to show an entry and exit strategy. 

Even the Squeeze was not successful in identifying a good entry level either. 
Looking at the Ticks really shows that the market was in an uptrend early.  That should have said go long.  I will also add the TICK to the mix of indicators to show that something may be trending.  It shows early in the day that the market was going up.

The pivot points for tomorrow are as follows.
Week Monthly
26-Apr April 2-May
High 1588.25 1594.25 1594.25
Low 1542.75 1530.75 1578.75
Close 1576.75 1594.00 1592.5
   
R3 1641.25 1678.75 1613.75
Mid 1628 1657.63 1608.875
R2 1614.75 1636.50 1604
Mid 1605.25 1625.88 1601.125
R1 1595.75 1615.25 1598.25
Mid 1582.5 1594.13 1593.375
Pivot 1569.25 1573.00 1588.5
Mid 1559.75 1562.38 1585.625
S1 1550.25 1551.75 1582.75
Mid 1537 1530.63 1577.875
S2 1523.75 1509.50 1573
Mid 1514.25 1498.88 1570.125
S3 1504.75 1488.25 1567.25

Wednesday, May 01, 2013

May 1, 2013 Daily update

The markets are still in a Bullish mode.  Even though the day was a down day, it is not enough to change the Bullish mode.
 
Looking at the charts, there are 3 that help tell a full story.
 
1)  The moving average 8, 21, 200 shows that the day is in a bearish mode.  The Stochastics and MACD should be added to this chart.
 
 
2) The regular pivot point chart to set targets
 3)  The Squeeze in order to see when consolidation is occurring.

 
The Pivot Points for tomorrow are
Week Monthly
26-Apr April 1-May
High 1588.25 1594.25 1595.5
Low 1542.75 1530.75 1576
Close 1576.75 1594.00 1578.75
   
R3 1641.25 1678.75 1610.333
Mid 1628 1657.63 1606.625
R2 1614.75 1636.50 1602.917
Mid 1605.25 1625.88 1596.875
R1 1595.75 1615.25 1590.833
Mid 1582.5 1594.13 1587.125
Pivot 1569.25 1573.00 1583.417
Mid 1559.75 1562.38 1577.375
S1 1550.25 1551.75 1571.333
Mid 1537 1530.63 1567.625
S2 1523.75 1509.50 1563.917
Mid 1514.25 1498.88 1557.875
S3 1504.75 1488.25 1551.833